TTbilly
0xc25120b27e01031b2122f74488dcdb077a78b9c3
- Realised P&L
- $112.9k
- Volume
- $10.43M
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $163.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.230 | $163.47 | +$61.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.0kat 0.786Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$20.4kat 0.805Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$15.9kat 0.861Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
- +$12.1kat 0.891Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
- +$11.8kat 0.851Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:18 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $209.99 |
| 04-15 02:56 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.81 | $486.00 |
| 04-14 13:19 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 04-12 05:14 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $67.81 |
| 04-03 13:49 | DeepSeek V4 released by May 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.3k |
| 03-23 07:34 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.860020085 | $1.7k |
| 03-23 07:25 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.875 | $1.8k |
| 03-16 09:40 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 03-12 01:26 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $356.00 |
| 03-11 10:32 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $85.50 |
| 03-11 03:53 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | SELL | 0.91 | $727.09 |
| 03-10 22:29 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.0k |
| 03-07 13:11 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.72 | $287.00 |
| 03-07 11:00 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.74 | $287.65 |
| 01-30 21:49 | Will BNB dip to $600 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $299.10 |