Possums
0xc2503d10efe737c0e81fea8f90105c7b69cc8d6e
- Realised P&L
- $-53.3k
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 947
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded947
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October? · No | 0.800 | 0.785 | $1.2k | −$22.35 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $338.55 | +$38.43 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.820 | 0.945 | $189.00 | +$25.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.875 | $175.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.817 | 0.865 | $151.48 | +$8.37 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.905 | $90.50 | +$10.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.650 | 0.595 | $89.25 | −$8.25 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.794 | 0.779 | $77.90 | −$1.47 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.710 | 0.720 | $72.00 | +$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.765 | $22.95 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.886Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$3.3kat 0.927Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
- +$2.0kat 0.668Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.4kat 0.846Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.0kat 0.846Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:31 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.2k |
| 10-01 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |
| 10-01 05:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 10-01 05:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 10-01 05:25 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7937 | $79.37 |
| 10-01 05:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $66.11 |
| 10-01 05:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 09-30 00:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $300.12 |
| 09-30 00:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-28 08:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.00 |
| 09-28 08:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.879498 | $131.92 |
| 09-28 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 09-21 07:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 09-21 07:25 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.93 | $197.36 |
| 09-21 07:25 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |