PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc24fa1e0fda1552c830022807abd855aadbe220b

Realised P&L
$970.44
Volume
$48.4k
Markets traded
962
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded962
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.9470.979$164.78+$5.28
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? · Yes0.7510.900$154.01+$25.41
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · No0.7180.948$130.65+$31.63
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? · Yes0.5960.780$122.60+$28.85
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · No0.8540.923$122.46+$9.10
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate? · Yes0.8890.935$118.47+$5.80
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · No0.5820.861$110.05+$35.57
Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8650.972$108.59+$11.94
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8240.825$99.27+$0.07
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · No0.9100.900$98.23$1.09
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · No0.8900.925$96.03+$3.63
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.7150.610$93.54$16.10
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? · Yes0.8650.986$88.26+$10.79
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? · No0.8990.998$87.20+$8.60
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? · No0.8500.894$86.10+$4.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:55Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.5299999945$14.48
09-15 20:31Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?BUY0.4885546109$29.88
09-15 18:44Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?BUY0.7699999861$8.32
09-15 12:19Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?BUY0.7959999911$15.38
09-15 10:31Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?BUY0.607679857$11.39
09-15 09:55Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?BUY0.4699999946$20.94
09-14 20:34Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?BUY0.7141951166$13.30
09-14 20:34Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?BUY0.3706306605$8.12
09-14 18:52Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?BUY0.7184768482$99.02
09-12 02:33Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.475$6.84
09-11 15:46Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.5799999701$5.05
09-10 19:55Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?BUY0.5999999956$27.37
09-09 21:26Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?BUY0.2599999891$5.24
09-09 20:26Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?BUY0.6499999947$6.15
09-09 19:51Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?BUY0.5999999925$15.91