0xc24fa1e0fda1552c830022807abd855aadbe220b
- Realised P&L
- $970.44
- Volume
- $48.4k
- Markets traded
- 962
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded962
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.01at 0.145Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$101.21at 0.260Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
- +$78.54at 0.313Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
- +$68.30at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$67.69at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:55 | Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | BUY | 0.5299999945 | $14.48 |
| 09-15 20:31 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4885546109 | $29.88 |
| 09-15 18:44 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.7699999861 | $8.32 |
| 09-15 12:19 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.7959999911 | $15.38 |
| 09-15 10:31 | Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | BUY | 0.607679857 | $11.39 |
| 09-15 09:55 | Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | BUY | 0.4699999946 | $20.94 |
| 09-14 20:34 | Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | BUY | 0.7141951166 | $13.30 |
| 09-14 20:34 | Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | BUY | 0.3706306605 | $8.12 |
| 09-14 18:52 | Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.7184768482 | $99.02 |
| 09-12 02:33 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.475 | $6.84 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5799999701 | $5.05 |
| 09-10 19:55 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | BUY | 0.5999999956 | $27.37 |
| 09-09 21:26 | Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2599999891 | $5.24 |
| 09-09 20:26 | Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.6499999947 | $6.15 |
| 09-09 19:51 | Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5999999925 | $15.91 |