PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc24f642337340c33d5d905233c5c306296519537

Realised P&L
$13.13
Volume
$390.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$51.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8000.925$8.32+$1.13
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.4500.885$7.08+$3.48
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.935$6.54+$0.17
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9290.921$6.45$0.06
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6600.925$5.55+$1.59
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9490.979$4.89+$0.15
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9340.964$4.82+$0.15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4680.912$4.56+$2.22
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1570.085$2.55$2.15
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0750.036$0.50$0.55
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.1000.043$0.47$0.63
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1500.105$0.21$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 04:58Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.13$1.82
07-09 17:51Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.363$2.54
07-09 02:26Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.949$4.75
07-05 01:42China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$6.37
06-24 04:51Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.934$4.67
06-22 02:10Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$2.88
06-16 05:41Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.66$3.96
06-13 11:50Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.929$6.50
06-08 02:26Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.075$1.05
06-05 10:53U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.1$1.10
06-02 05:41Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.468$2.34
05-26 03:29Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.8$7.20
05-21 00:55Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.15$3.30
04-17 19:35Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.094$1.41
04-15 18:06Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.79$3.95