PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc24f0686aae913fd32032ee03eb2db371891adf8

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$785.14

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2200.120$393.02−$328.43
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1570.044$170.58−$429.41
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1650.050$53.63−$123.63
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2600.045$45.23−$215.90
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$40.50−$139.50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1500.029$28.50−$121.50
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.024$24.00−$116.00
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1700.045$18.14−$50.38
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1900.044$10.04−$32.83
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3400.150$1.50−$1.90
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$389.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$100.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$624.99
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$250.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:48Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.108$107.12
07-23 18:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.51$12.46
07-23 18:38Iran full airspace closure by July 27?BUY0.3896989522$222.78
07-23 18:38Iran full airspace closure by July 24?BUY0.15$6.75
07-22 22:53Iran full airspace closure by July 24?BUY0.1566871633$100.00
07-22 22:52Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.1105580139$100.00
07-22 22:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
07-22 22:51Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.4274054545$1.5k
07-21 15:48Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.31$417.29
07-21 15:48US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.12$192.00
07-21 15:47Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.144$217.73
07-21 15:46Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1$7.26
07-12 10:27Israel closes its airspace by July 15?SELL0.0395309141$42.74
07-09 19:52Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.1549751304$100.00
07-09 19:52Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.092501711$100.00