0xc24f0686aae913fd32032ee03eb2db371891adf8
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $785.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.449US military action against Iran before July?
- +$3.8kat 0.446Israel military action against Iran before July?
- +$3.4kat 0.403US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.165Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$900.90at 0.099Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:48 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.108 | $107.12 |
| 07-23 18:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $12.46 |
| 07-23 18:38 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.3896989522 | $222.78 |
| 07-23 18:38 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.75 |
| 07-22 22:53 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.1566871633 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 22:52 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.1105580139 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 22:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 22:51 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.4274054545 | $1.5k |
| 07-21 15:48 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $417.29 |
| 07-21 15:48 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $192.00 |
| 07-21 15:47 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.144 | $217.73 |
| 07-21 15:46 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.26 |
| 07-12 10:27 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL | 0.0395309141 | $42.74 |
| 07-09 19:52 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1549751304 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 19:52 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.092501711 | $100.00 |