0xc2420abd13a29fb7f22d322eb69de279fa7c1ecf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.93
- Volume
- $35.83
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.880 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.715 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.245 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.370 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 8?
- +$0.55at 0.649Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.669Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:09 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:49 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:46 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:12 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:05 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 07:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:06 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:03 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:59 | Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 8? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |