PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DorsetSqCap

0xc230d03c421495ec7bde14c9231bd87967d97971

Realised P&L
$-442.44
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.6081.000$562.73+$220.45
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6440.962$319.79+$105.68
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.8271.000$175.37+$30.31
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? · No0.8321.000$120.15+$20.15
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.8801.000$113.64+$13.64
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.8300.955$91.99+$12.04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat? · Yes0.9200.988$53.70+$3.70
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat? · Yes0.9200.976$53.04+$3.04
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes0.9130.955$52.28+$2.28
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.035$40.34+$15.34
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.018$17.50−$7.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$40.76
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$93.42
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · No0.6760.000$0.00−$105.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 19:31Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?SELL0.0034241359$0.82
03-20 20:00Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?BUY0.4695609023$99.88
03-20 19:59Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?SELL0.92$99.88
03-20 19:56US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.61$142.28
03-20 19:44Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?BUY0.1929999934$22.00
03-20 19:39Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?SELL0.93$50.54
03-20 19:38Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?BUY0.5224650094$200.00
03-20 19:34US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6070156066$200.00
03-20 19:24Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?SELL0.92$49.99
03-20 19:23Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?SELL0.92$49.99
03-20 19:23Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?SELL0.93$50.54
03-20 19:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.28$50.72
03-20 19:22Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?BUY0.192$3.20
03-17 17:18Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.676253752$105.15
03-17 12:16Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5602014872$93.42