DorsetSqCap
0xc230d03c421495ec7bde14c9231bd87967d97971
- Realised P&L
- $-442.44
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.46at 0.580US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$33.91at 0.849Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
- +$32.39at 0.745Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
- +$18.00at 0.147Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.71at 0.850Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 19:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | SELL | 0.0034241359 | $0.82 |
| 03-20 20:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.4695609023 | $99.88 |
| 03-20 19:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $99.88 |
| 03-20 19:56 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $142.28 |
| 03-20 19:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.1929999934 | $22.00 |
| 03-20 19:39 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $50.54 |
| 03-20 19:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.5224650094 | $200.00 |
| 03-20 19:34 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6070156066 | $200.00 |
| 03-20 19:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $49.99 |
| 03-20 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $49.99 |
| 03-20 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $50.54 |
| 03-20 19:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.28 | $50.72 |
| 03-20 19:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.192 | $3.20 |
| 03-17 17:18 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.676253752 | $105.15 |
| 03-17 12:16 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.5602014872 | $93.42 |