0xc228c0029c8eb4adfa18734aa317b33305fbd701
- Realised P&L
- $-9.33
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $9.00 | −$12.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.006Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 19? | BUY | 0.9989999877 | $22.70 |
| 03-12 04:14 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $19.46 |