PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc2289e89cac57cb4a74c90b2e286fadaefe222c0

Realised P&L
$-25.84
Volume
$776.00
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$49.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5000.905$7.24+$3.24
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4200.305$7.01$2.65
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.6940.752$6.77+$0.53
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9460.972$5.83+$0.15
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9680.962$5.77$0.04
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.930$5.58+$0.60
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.9000.986$4.93+$0.43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.045$1.49$0.82
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5410.083$1.00$5.50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.4120.105$0.94$2.77
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.4800.115$0.92$2.92
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1840.105$0.84$0.63
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7260.107$0.54$3.09
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.014$0.43$0.78
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2400.022$0.40$3.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 21:47Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.968$5.81
07-11 11:31U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.13$1.04
06-30 00:10Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.87$4.35
06-24 18:37Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$1.52
06-20 15:45Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.145$1.16
06-14 22:50China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$2.20
06-12 21:31Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.541$6.49
06-10 16:12Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.54
06-03 19:16Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.929$6.50
06-01 17:43Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.946$5.68
05-30 04:03Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.924$19.40
05-22 03:51Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.98
05-22 03:51Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.87
04-22 02:31Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.891$7.13
04-22 02:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.708$4.25