0xc2289e89cac57cb4a74c90b2e286fadaefe222c0
- Realised P&L
- $-25.84
- Volume
- $776.00
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $49.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.03at 0.210Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.81at 0.394Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
- +$0.32at 0.770Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
- +$0.09at 0.190Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
- +$0.06at 0.150Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 21:47 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.968 | $5.81 |
| 07-11 11:31 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 06-30 00:10 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 06-24 18:37 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 06-20 15:45 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.145 | $1.16 |
| 06-14 22:50 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.20 |
| 06-12 21:31 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.541 | $6.49 |
| 06-10 16:12 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.54 |
| 06-03 19:16 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.929 | $6.50 |
| 06-01 17:43 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.946 | $5.68 |
| 05-30 04:03 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $19.40 |
| 05-22 03:51 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 05-22 03:51 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.87 |
| 04-22 02:31 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.891 | $7.13 |
| 04-22 02:31 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.708 | $4.25 |