Anon78996
0xc22242062fa92a6471aadbef0da7023f4ad39ac9
- Realised P&L
- $-23.01
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $87.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ben Shelton Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.933 | 0.979 | $29.37 | +$1.38 |
| Will Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.958 | 0.973 | $29.19 | +$0.45 |
| Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.760 | $23.56 | +$1.24 |
| Will Paul Reed win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? · No | 0.539 | 0.974 | $4.87 | +$2.17 |
| Will Paul Reed win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.026 | $0.08 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.82at 0.884Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?
- +$7.82at 0.566Will Rafael Jodar Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings
- +$4.52at 0.097Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry
- +$4.16at 0.500Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.310Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:09 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.200870065 | $4.02 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.147 | $1.47 |
| 11-01 13:22 | Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $22.32 |
| 11-01 11:28 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.228 | $2.28 |
| 11-01 10:44 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.52 | $0.88 |
| 11-01 10:33 | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:28 | Will Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | BUY | 0.958 | $28.74 |
| 11-01 06:47 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.265 | $1.21 |
| 10-31 22:27 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.82 |
| 10-31 09:14 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.4 | $0.38 |
| 10-31 09:01 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | SELL | 0.74 | $0.71 |
| 10-31 08:39 | Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 12:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $89.10 |
| 10-30 09:16 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.816 | $81.60 |
| 10-29 22:55 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |