JustCrazy
0xc21ea96be762bb55041529af6e386e7c53b80215
- Realised P&L
- $-194.2k
- Volume
- $235.98M
- Markets traded
- 2,302
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,302
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.2kat 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.6kat 0.179Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$54.6kat 0.019Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.6kat 0.169Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.9kat 0.017Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 06:21 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.60 |
| 09-10 05:10 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.54 |
| 09-10 05:10 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-10 05:09 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 09-10 05:07 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-10 05:01 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.29 |
| 09-01 14:48 | Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.51 |
| 09-01 14:47 | Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-01 14:46 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-31 15:14 | US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev | SELL | 0.1235451992 | $2.8k |
| 08-31 13:41 | US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.18 | $1.6k |
| 08-18 23:34 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.33 | $54.47 |
| 08-18 12:08 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.51 |
| 08-18 12:08 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.03 |
| 08-01 15:50 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $36.22 |