0xc21d23bc9e216bf273c04385fa1e19b01d96e3c6
- Realised P&L
- $221.44
- Volume
- $229.6k
- Markets traded
- 882
- Open portfolio
- $292.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded882
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.460 | 1.000 | $64.53 | +$34.83 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.520 | 1.000 | $28.43 | +$13.64 |
| Fresno State vs. San Jose State · San Jose State | 0.350 | 0.355 | $26.90 | +$0.38 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Chicago Cubs | 0.560 | 1.000 | $25.99 | +$11.43 |
| Spread: Virginia (-11.5) · West Virginia | 0.530 | 0.720 | $19.78 | +$5.22 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.797 | $19.32 | +$11.32 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 20? · Down | 0.650 | 0.815 | $17.90 | +$3.62 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.925 | $16.41 | +$2.04 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in September? · No | 0.943 | 0.967 | $15.09 | +$0.37 |
| Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.690 | 0.685 | $14.85 | −$0.11 |
| Spread: Texas (-30.5) · UTSA | 0.520 | 0.415 | $11.62 | −$2.94 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 24? · Yes | 0.988 | 0.995 | $7.77 | +$0.05 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.420 | 0.210 | $7.38 | −$7.38 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 25? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.550 | $7.19 | −$0.65 |
| Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.225 | $6.75 | −$8.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$446.23at 0.043Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$325.87at 0.302Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
- +$227.38at 0.387Spread: Norway (-2.5)
- +$200.20at 0.572Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7PM ET
- +$165.60at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:26 | Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.6899999991 | $14.96 |
| 09-20 00:00 | Fresno State vs. San Jose State | BUY | 0.3499999939 | $11.56 |
| 09-19 23:28 | Spread: Texas (-30.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $14.56 |
| 09-19 23:17 | Fresno State vs. San Jose State | BUY | 0.349999993 | $14.96 |
| 09-19 23:06 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5199999944 | $14.79 |
| 09-19 22:00 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.7509999933 | $9.62 |
| 09-19 21:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.7370869281 | $14.86 |
| 09-19 21:36 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.8019999205 | $4.80 |
| 09-19 21:11 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.6499999788 | $7.68 |
| 09-19 21:11 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.6499999754 | $6.60 |
| 09-19 20:55 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $14.30 |
| 09-19 20:48 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8172011319 | $14.92 |
| 09-19 15:43 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2699999956 | $14.88 |
| 09-19 15:42 | North Carolina vs. Clemson | BUY | 0.41 | $14.76 |
| 09-19 15:34 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2399999987 | $14.92 |