S770
0xc2180b979aab47ba5131d59ca4b9289def08b650
- Realised P&L
- $-257.42
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $8.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.049 | $8.69 | −$50.44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$385.00 |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.08at 0.448Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
- +$63.55at 0.574Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$38.05at 0.260Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9318659883 | $43.04 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9268411215 | $29.75 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0259998118 | $5.52 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4221993947 | $99.05 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.946869783 | $90.75 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | SELL | 0.9721429531 | $217.07 |
| 10-29 14:28 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2510164598 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 18:52 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 18:48 | Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5742574234 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 08:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $61.00 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1781243887 | $96.00 |
| 10-25 22:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2289999999 | $96.00 |
| 10-25 22:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.349944745 | $95.00 |
| 10-25 20:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6819999984 | $98.00 |
| 10-25 08:30 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2358287553 | $60.00 |