scarla-6
0xc20ffb30943cfda9b110e06a897b4e507709a172
- Realised P&L
- $-153.15
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $34.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.56at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?
- +$30.00at 0.250Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$15.60at 0.391Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
- +$7.37at 0.230Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:52 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4299999947 | $22.00 |
| 05-12 05:52 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0859999992 | $90.00 |
| 04-27 11:49 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 11:46 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | BUY | 0.1503235331 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 11:42 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22? | BUY | 0.2664305929 | $21.78 |
| 04-13 12:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $22.78 |
| 04-02 08:31 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-02 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $17.64 |
| 03-23 14:39 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 08:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 03-18 08:52 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1053204639 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 12:53 | Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | BUY | 0.0987890359 | $11.15 |
| 03-05 14:26 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1430750598 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 14:25 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 03-05 07:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |