PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

scarla-6

0xc20ffb30943cfda9b110e06a897b4e507709a172

Realised P&L
$-153.15
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$34.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0860.028$28.78$61.22
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.021$2.39$27.61
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1050.018$1.66$8.34
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1430.005$0.58$14.42
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2500.004$0.45$24.55
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · Yes0.0990.004$0.40$10.75
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.3530.000$0.00$36.94
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? · No0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00$26.11
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$22.00
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 05:52Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.4299999947$22.00
05-12 05:52Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0859999992$90.00
04-27 11:49Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
04-27 11:46Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?BUY0.1503235331$10.00
04-27 11:42Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22?BUY0.2664305929$21.78
04-13 12:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.34$22.78
04-02 08:31Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
04-02 08:23Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.1799999928$17.64
03-23 14:39Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
03-18 08:58Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
03-18 08:52Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1053204639$10.00
03-16 12:53Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?BUY0.0987890359$11.15
03-05 14:26Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1430750598$15.00
03-05 14:25Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.25$25.00
03-05 07:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?BUY0.179999987$10.00