aidanqreid10
0xc20ddf9fb92731e7b009f9e0d92bbc38a63a3ec0
- Realised P&L
- $-79.00
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $19.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.27at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$18.01at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$9.11at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$6.49at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$4.37at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:16 | Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1826568224 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 16:14 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.07 | $12.05 |
| 10-24 12:32 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.94 |
| 10-23 10:44 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.79 |
| 10-22 12:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1879999977 | $3.00 |
| 10-22 12:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.037 | $3.48 |
| 10-21 06:33 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1979999941 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1407525544 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 17:16 | Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0659999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 17:16 | Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0335179244 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 17:16 | Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0418085169 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $12.03 |
| 10-19 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |