PolyBot

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Traders

aidanqreid10

0xc20ddf9fb92731e7b009f9e0d92bbc38a63a3ec0

Realised P&L
$-79.00
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$19.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.0590.063$17.18+$1.18
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0500.045$2.70−$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.0810.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.0190.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.0520.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.1410.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 16:16Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1826568224$5.00
10-26 16:14Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.07$12.05
10-24 12:32Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.08$4.94
10-23 10:44Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.23$4.79
10-22 12:42Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1879999977$3.00
10-22 12:42Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.037$3.48
10-21 06:33Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1979999941$5.00
10-19 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.1407525544$5.00
10-19 17:16Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0659999985$2.00
10-19 17:16Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0335179244$2.00
10-19 17:16Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0418085169$2.00
10-19 15:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSELL0.65$12.03
10-19 15:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.269999993$5.00
10-19 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-19 14:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.3099999857$5.00