0xc203e23f46273bb74f84e7be155298269065ea5a
0xc203e23f46273bb74f84e7be155298269065ea5a
- Realised P&L
- $-248.90
- Volume
- $118.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,287
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,287
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.70at 0.020Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$132.80at 0.070Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$109.86at 0.040Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs WBT Academy - Map 1 Winner
- +$99.92at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$61.28at 0.140US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 12:39 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5754815096 | $287.73 |
| 07-21 03:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $21.96 |
| 07-21 03:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4406853021 | $9.77 |
| 07-07 04:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $8.20 |
| 07-07 04:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $13.47 |
| 07-07 04:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.99 |
| 07-07 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 00:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3824387097 | $8.89 |
| 07-07 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.98 |
| 07-06 21:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $7.03 |
| 07-06 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $7.93 |
| 07-06 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $9.07 |
| 07-06 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $6.04 |
| 07-06 19:50 | Solana Up or Down - July 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.34 |
| 07-06 19:50 | Solana Up or Down - July 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3033978873 | $6.89 |