Acjay
0xc20392a279dd93b52e052b413fca9984b55d53ad
- Realised P&L
- $-511.84
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $9.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.002 | $9.03 | −$117.96 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? · No | 0.291 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.00 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.33at 0.750Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
- +$-39.22at 0.727New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 12:14 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 12:14 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 12:14 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 04-11 12:14 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.3038197763 | $115.00 |
| 04-11 12:11 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 12:09 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.2569250698 | $50.00 |
| 03-21 23:41 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0291403454 | $2.00 |
| 03-21 23:40 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0220910255 | $105.00 |
| 03-21 23:07 | Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0166496932 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 15:33 | Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.0861821301 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 15:33 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.41 | $50.77 |
| 06-03 09:24 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.3499999979 | $57.00 |
| 05-31 19:14 | Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan | BUY | 0.75 | $43.00 |
| 05-31 19:08 | Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.1809999868 | $9.00 |
| 05-29 23:11 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.7266895237 | $90.00 |