Klif
0xc203276e412d0ecd51d46569e2c100a6f1af2da9
- Realised P&L
- $103.21
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $214.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.954 | $160.57 | −$0.89 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in October? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $53.55 | +$0.05 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.57 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2800 and $2900 on July 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.00at 0.300Blackhawks vs. Rangers
- +$30.30at 0.730Raiders vs. Buccaneers
- +$8.55at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.990Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
- +$4.11at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 14:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.50 |
| 09-30 17:51 | LoL: G2 NORD vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 09-29 18:26 | Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9588123221 | $161.46 |
| 09-20 13:29 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $215.06 |
| 09-16 17:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.52 |
| 09-14 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.57 |
| 09-09 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $213.15 |
| 08-27 09:54 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $213.44 |
| 08-20 09:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $210.01 |
| 08-11 08:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0069999987 | $5.57 |
| 07-30 15:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999972 | $197.25 |
| 07-08 15:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9989999964 | $218.00 |
| 05-02 10:03 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999999 | $90.00 |
| 04-23 17:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.08 |
| 04-23 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $253.37 |