israeI
0xc1f4892bfa4487c99d8051205ee8be78bf39dd7c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $91.0k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $556.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.06at 0.493Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
- +$424.89at 0.585Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$350.40at 0.347Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$317.98at 0.432Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
- +$304.12at 0.380Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $112.87 |
| 07-30 13:09 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.57 | $150.00 |
| 07-30 13:02 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova | BUY | 0.48 | $150.00 |
| 07-30 08:49 | Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.40 |
| 07-29 12:34 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.74 | $150.00 |
| 07-29 12:32 | Will FC København win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $150.00 |
| 07-29 12:32 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.3384515919 | $166.47 |
| 07-28 14:05 | Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $106.00 |
| 07-28 14:02 | Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.5 | $45.30 |
| 07-28 13:51 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $150.00 |
| 07-28 13:21 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.3102627907 | $200.12 |
| 07-28 12:14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.78 | $152.10 |
| 07-28 10:33 | Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet | BUY | 0.78 | $152.10 |
| 07-28 00:35 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $271.86 |
| 07-27 14:27 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.409999999 | $150.00 |