PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

israeI

0xc1f4892bfa4487c99d8051205ee8be78bf39dd7c

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$91.0k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$556.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.4100.225$152.55$125.43
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.4200.195$141.86$163.69
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6000.125$125.00$475.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3500.235$72.38$35.42
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3400.145$43.94$59.09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3800.065$21.00$101.75
AEK Lárnakas vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00$129.06
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Maria · Talia Gibson0.5600.000$0.00$150.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$149.45
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$163.20
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmoh · Michael Mmoh0.6600.000$0.00$16.50
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$77.18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapova · Anastasia Potapova0.4800.000$0.00$150.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$420.75
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche · Dusan Lajovic0.4500.000$0.00$128.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 14:10Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$112.87
07-30 13:09Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub MensikBUY0.57$150.00
07-30 13:02Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia PotapovaBUY0.48$150.00
07-30 08:49Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-07-30?BUY0.57$6.40
07-29 12:34Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.74$150.00
07-29 12:32Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?BUY0.4199999985$150.00
07-29 12:32Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?SELL0.3384515919$166.47
07-28 14:05Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin MoutetBUY0.5099999983$106.00
07-28 14:02Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin MoutetBUY0.5$45.30
07-28 13:51Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner TienBUY0.8199999992$150.00
07-28 13:21Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.3102627907$200.12
07-28 12:14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy PaulBUY0.78$152.10
07-28 10:33Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe PaquetBUY0.78$152.10
07-28 00:35US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.31$271.86
07-27 14:27Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo MusettiBUY0.409999999$150.00