PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Longterm-741

0xc1f0acd8f9d3b526d3a45918d08f036feb066c61

Realised P&L
$-74.91
Volume
$337.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$62.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.9771.000$13.31+$0.31
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.9400.937$11.96−$0.04
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? · No0.9881.000$11.82+$0.14
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · No0.9991.000$10.01+$0.01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9620.960$4.99−$0.01
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9720.997$4.10+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.945$3.63+$0.63
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9820.981$3.00−$0.00
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3) · Tundra Esports0.6900.000$0.00−$5.00
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 14? · No0.9740.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 07:13Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?SELL0.993$4.34
05-22 07:13Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.992$10.44
05-19 19:19Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?BUY0.94$12.00
05-19 19:19Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?BUY0.9299999949$11.00
05-19 19:18Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.958$910.09
05-19 19:17Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.984$984.00
05-19 19:17Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.986$5.0k
05-19 06:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?BUY0.9679999985$5.00
05-19 06:06Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.9499999715$10.00
05-19 06:05Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$1.9k
05-19 06:04Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.991$2.0k
05-19 06:02Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$3.1k
05-18 20:00Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.989$3.6k
05-18 08:15Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 TOUR Championship?BUY0.999$10.00
05-18 08:15Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?BUY0.988$16.00