Longterm-741
0xc1f0acd8f9d3b526d3a45918d08f036feb066c61
- Realised P&L
- $-74.91
- Volume
- $337.7k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $62.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.43at 0.700Heat vs. Nets
- +$3.11at 0.720Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
- +$2.44at 0.998Will Trump's approval rating be less than 44.0% on May 23?
- +$1.28at 0.978Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
- +$1.00at 0.834Olimpia Milano vs. Pallacanestro Reggiana
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 07:13 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.34 |
| 05-22 07:13 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.44 |
| 05-19 19:19 | Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $12.00 |
| 05-19 19:19 | Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B? | BUY | 0.9299999949 | $11.00 |
| 05-19 19:18 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.958 | $910.09 |
| 05-19 19:17 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.984 | $984.00 |
| 05-19 19:17 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.986 | $5.0k |
| 05-19 06:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 06:06 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.9499999715 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 06:05 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.9k |
| 05-19 06:04 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.0k |
| 05-19 06:02 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.1k |
| 05-18 20:00 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.989 | $3.6k |
| 05-18 08:15 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 08:15 | Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $16.00 |