centralbaku
0xc1ed9d5edca59c22df0e65e1b44af0c93a14e634
- Realised P&L
- $-132.95
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 317
- Open portfolio
- $16.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded317
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.19at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?
- +$38.89at 0.221Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
- +$22.38at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?
- +$20.84at 0.597Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$19.20at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.42 |
| 09-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.63 |
| 09-27 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.98 | $16.07 |
| 09-26 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.08 |
| 09-26 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.455 | $9.10 |
| 09-26 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3047619048 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5524316772 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |