PolyBot

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Traders

centralbaku

0xc1ed9d5edca59c22df0e65e1b44af0c93a14e634

Realised P&L
$-132.95
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
317
Open portfolio
$16.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded317
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:29Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?SELL0.999$9.42
09-28 10:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.3799999924$8.00
09-28 08:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?BUY0.4$5.00
09-28 05:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?SELL0.998$16.63
09-27 18:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 29?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-27 05:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-27 05:57Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-26 17:45Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.599999988$10.00
09-26 12:49Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26?SELL0.98$16.07
09-26 12:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?SELL0.999$18.08
09-26 12:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?SELL0.455$9.10
09-26 06:57Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.3047619048$5.00
09-25 16:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?BUY0.5524316772$10.00
09-25 16:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-25 15:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.45$9.00