0xC1e51A0E0aB9f10e2D489B312e35ad8B220dc5df-1774574800875
0xc1e51a0e0ab9f10e2d489b312e35ad8b220dc5df
- Realised P&L
- $-870.04
- Volume
- $474.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,874
- Open portfolio
- $173.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,874
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$716.27at 0.430Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$277.96at 0.782France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$256.48at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?
- +$236.75at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$233.07at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0317450567 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.44 |
| 08-03 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0106640815 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0207867286 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.97 | $2.66 |
| 08-03 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 08-03 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.15 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.07 |