0xc1d86b2c9ddf2757257949b64526fc6b36cf09d3
0xc1d86b2c9ddf2757257949b64526fc6b36cf09d3
- Realised P&L
- $0.52
- Volume
- $9.76
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.715 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.760 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.220 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.285 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.661Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:13 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:00 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |