somedudo
0xc1d6d9762d4bace8f4620097aa7e5f1f4c5746b4
- Realised P&L
- $-7.69
- Volume
- $387.95
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $18.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24? · No | 0.650 | 0.595 | $9.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.585 | $1.91 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.460 | $1.68 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 24? · No | 0.690 | 0.720 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $1.35 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 24? · No | 0.800 | 0.655 | $1.23 | −$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.130 | $1.03 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.075 | $0.80 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.33at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24?
- +$-1.87at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 23?
- +$-4.50at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6899998712 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.1355393939 | $8.95 |
| 09-23 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.45 |
| 09-23 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.6734867503 | $9.66 |
| 09-23 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.3644929996 | $8.59 |
| 09-23 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.00 |