create6666
0xc1d1dec9308cfa36b3b348065c2de174e087f1ba
- Realised P&L
- $261.71
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $387.95
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.970 | 0.984 | $177.04 | +$2.53 |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.966 | $96.60 | +$0.10 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.855 | $87.20 | +$17.85 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.972 | 0.982 | $20.61 | +$0.20 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.50at 0.450North Carolina vs. Ole Miss
- +$20.48at 0.450Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$10.76at 0.968Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
- +$8.81at 0.738Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in his first 100 days?
- +$8.27at 0.981Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:47 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $400 end of October? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-13 03:47 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of October? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-13 03:47 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of October? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-13 03:41 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-13 03:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 10-13 03:34 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $69.35 |
| 10-13 03:33 | Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-13 03:31 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $164.80 |
| 10-13 03:31 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.71 |
| 10-13 03:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $20.41 |
| 10-13 03:24 | Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 10-13 03:22 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 09-22 08:57 | Will Solana dip to $40 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $80.76 |
| 09-22 08:36 | Will Xi leave the USA on September 29, 2026 or later? | BUY | 0.998 | $97.79 |
| 09-22 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $111.33 |