Owjgejliw
0xc1d0419823cfd38c4f713cdaa510d2f34bba529c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $84.2k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $834.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.029 | $648.33 | −$2.6k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No | 0.270 | 0.265 | $98.15 | −$1.85 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No | 0.078 | 0.085 | $87.52 | +$7.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.21at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
- +$81.98at 0.312Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$44.07at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$35.16at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$34.26at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:35 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 14:35 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 03:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $23.00 |
| 10-29 03:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $23.32 |
| 10-29 03:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $13.00 |
| 10-29 02:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.0374216571 | $13.10 |
| 10-29 02:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.0693498451 | $8.00 |
| 10-29 02:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $7.95 |
| 10-28 02:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5799999932 | $41.00 |
| 10-28 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |