Owjgejliw
0xc1d0419823cfd38c4f713cdaa510d2f34bba529c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $68.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $688.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.055 | $581.55 | −$2.1k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.075 | $107.25 | −$34.75 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.21at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
- +$84.66at 0.309Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$45.13at 0.780France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$38.50at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$37.34at 0.290Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 23:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $22.00 |
| 07-15 23:18 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.087 | $8.70 |
| 07-15 23:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $13.59 |
| 07-15 17:25 | England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $81.70 |
| 07-14 19:12 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $8.75 |
| 07-14 14:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $111.00 |
| 07-14 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.609999969 | $3.93 |
| 07-14 02:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.37 |
| 07-13 22:49 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $102.00 |
| 07-13 02:46 | France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 02:35 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 02:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1009174222 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |