dinokiy2022
0xc1ce5f32a1798306bf718374958e58475071391e
- Realised P&L
- $-160.52
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $46.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on September 18, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.949 | $46.32 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.40at 0.727Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
- +$26.18at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET
- +$24.64at 0.549Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 3PM ET
- +$18.04at 0.660UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$17.47at 0.783Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:52 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9833835816 | $48.00 |
| 08-26 18:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $46.00 |
| 08-20 19:50 | Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.00 |
| 08-20 19:50 | Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $14.00 |
| 08-20 19:45 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.00 |
| 08-15 20:02 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9899999664 | $23.00 |
| 08-15 19:58 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9879999996 | $22.00 |
| 08-11 00:13 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.00 |
| 07-01 21:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 29 above $40? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.00 |
| 04-06 17:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY | 0.95 | $49.33 |
| 03-31 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $48.09 |
| 03-27 02:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.00 |
| 01-09 23:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.8299999971 | $133.00 |
| 01-08 12:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 8? | BUY | 0.9989999938 | $141.98 |
| 01-07 00:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 7? | BUY | 0.9959999986 | $141.42 |