ogyfhk
0xc1c70650bbc2799c1e8d9c11ced675d78eb10287
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $359.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-39.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.855 | $359.10 | −$10.50 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · No | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.60at 0.911Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$91.00at 0.870Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$0.00at 0.729Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-2.10at 0.810Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 08:16 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.531 | $212.40 |
| 04-23 08:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.911 | $1.3k |
| 03-16 02:19 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $609.00 |
| 01-22 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.8k |