PolyBot

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Traders

0xc1bbc015b918d2a27cc0c37338dd45445796b239

0xc1bbc015b918d2a27cc0c37338dd45445796b239

Realised P&L
$11.84
Volume
$384.11
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$11.29

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.3600.590$1.64+$0.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.495$1.46+$0.46
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? · No0.7300.880$1.21+$0.21
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.7000.750$1.07+$0.07
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? · No0.6600.655$0.99−$0.01
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · Yes0.3700.345$0.93−$0.07
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · No0.6400.580$0.91−$0.09
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No0.7000.575$0.82−$0.18
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · No0.4600.365$0.79−$0.21
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6700.505$0.75−$0.25
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No0.5500.395$0.72−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:59Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.7$1.00
10-11 22:59Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 22:56Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-11 14:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 06:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-10 22:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-10 13:45Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.7$1.00
10-10 13:41Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-10 05:30Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-10 05:22Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 17:39Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-09 09:32Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-08 23:47Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-08 15:41Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-08 06:38Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.71399991$1.00