PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CoffeeLover

0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c

Realised P&L
$262.3k
Volume
$17.65M
Markets traded
2,375
Open portfolio
$14.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,375
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4390.444$6.6k+$72.62
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.050$788.87+$687.20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.057$627.77+$141.81
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.018$530.46+$329.95
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.4950.185$487.85−$816.89
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.025$427.82+$318.33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0730.044$398.02−$265.64
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.150$345.70+$328.45
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.012$344.41+$143.71
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.0680.050$337.51−$129.48
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.011$330.06+$129.36
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2650.075$317.86−$798.13
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.009$243.96+$43.25
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.007$215.26+$14.55
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.017$161.32+$11.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$24.9k
10-27 20:02Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.08$241.60
10-27 13:13Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.4749513577$1.3k
10-27 13:13Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.0684901053$466.99
10-27 13:12Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.0246376499$116.81
10-27 13:12Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.026319753$213.80
10-27 13:12Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.0160327511$182.06
10-25 23:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.933$6.0k
10-25 23:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.901$1.8k
10-25 23:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8851402984$15.8k
10-25 23:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.84$3.5k
10-25 23:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.83$5.4k
10-25 22:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.768356066$2.3k
10-25 22:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6799829754$7.0k
10-25 22:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.69$6.9k