CoffeeLover
0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c
- Realised P&L
- $262.3k
- Volume
- $17.65M
- Markets traded
- 2,375
- Open portfolio
- $14.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,375
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$241.9kat 0.066Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$52.0kat 0.347Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$49.3kat 0.221Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$49.3kat 0.030Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$45.1kat 0.332Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.9k |
| 10-27 20:02 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.08 | $241.60 |
| 10-27 13:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4749513577 | $1.3k |
| 10-27 13:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0684901053 | $466.99 |
| 10-27 13:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0246376499 | $116.81 |
| 10-27 13:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.026319753 | $213.80 |
| 10-27 13:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0160327511 | $182.06 |
| 10-25 23:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.933 | $6.0k |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.901 | $1.8k |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8851402984 | $15.8k |
| 10-25 23:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $3.5k |
| 10-25 23:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.4k |
| 10-25 22:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.768356066 | $2.3k |
| 10-25 22:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799829754 | $7.0k |
| 10-25 22:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.9k |