PGeneral
0xc1b18ad3e77b933ab17da0b1116e05e9295b0924
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.060 | 0.865 | $1.6k | +$1.4k |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.770 | $231.00 | +$60.00 |
| Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.135 | $127.79 | −$216.12 |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.170 | 0.835 | $94.21 | +$75.03 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.120 | $48.00 | −$96.00 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.004 | $1.35 | −$5.85 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.003 | $0.75 | −$78.25 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$840.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? · No | 0.606 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$422.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.33at 0.867Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$160.05at 0.814Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?
- +$108.40at 0.817Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$101.99at 0.490Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$88.89at 0.770Will Trump say "Iran" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 04:39 | Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.52 |
| 03-05 02:52 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 02-26 08:14 | Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-21 16:48 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 02-21 16:18 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $320.89 |
| 02-21 15:46 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.2k |
| 02-20 17:26 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.6680246085 | $1.2k |
| 02-20 17:16 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.6220646707 | $519.42 |
| 02-11 09:36 | Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 02-10 17:15 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 11? | BUY | 0.4866666667 | $657.00 |
| 02-10 17:12 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18? | BUY | 0.078479987 | $188.68 |
| 02-10 17:12 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 13? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 02-10 17:11 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 10? | BUY | 0.4250758417 | $229.80 |
| 02-10 17:11 | Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 11? | BUY | 0.4380555762 | $3.0k |