lixiuning
0xc1aaedd0d3fe4e16be18e36d3606d63fc30013f1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $64.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $74.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.990 | $74.61 | +$18.61 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons · Celtics | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.37 |
| Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.40 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16? · No | 0.827 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$566.60 |
| Was JFK assassination an inside job? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.29 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$863.76at 0.595Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$216.11at 0.893Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
- +$118.67at 0.359South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$113.43at 0.900Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$49.79at 0.930Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:36 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.7430997877 | $56.00 |
| 09-20 02:35 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.3 | $58.04 |
| 09-18 14:43 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.4099999997 | $79.33 |
| 03-01 01:55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.54 |
| 02-28 19:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.3849999981 | $119.75 |
| 02-28 17:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5044894208 | $101.82 |
| 01-12 16:11 | Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.242 | $2.34 |
| 03-18 15:41 | Was JFK assassination an inside job? | BUY | 0.037 | $11.29 |
| 03-12 02:23 | Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31? | BUY | 0.9779999783 | $11.19 |
| 02-27 16:40 | Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.86 |
| 02-26 14:09 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.64 | $46.37 |
| 02-19 16:04 | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | BUY | 0.95 | $44.06 |
| 02-17 15:28 | Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $41.86 |
| 02-07 14:18 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 01-24 11:02 | Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10? | BUY | 0.037 | $7.40 |