PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lfchange

0xc1a2e273a6854e70d0132484a33cde5541e602a5

Realised P&L
$-884.85
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$61.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.7370.370$47.11−$46.76
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15? · Yes0.7930.910$12.28+$1.58
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.070$2.31−$0.33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0110.002$0.01−$0.03
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$139.99
Maduro out by December 31, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$168.70
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15? · No0.9940.000$0.00−$345.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 15:02Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?BUY0.792636628$10.70
08-26 15:38Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.82$24.87
08-26 15:32Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.74$7.40
01-03 17:09Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.38$15.91
12-16 03:02Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?BUY0.76$124.29
12-16 03:02Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.66$124.29
12-13 08:34Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.65$3.25
11-16 14:20Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.8$4.14
11-16 13:45Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.79$49.09
11-15 07:09Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?BUY0.994$345.72
11-15 06:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?SELL0.34$309.59
11-10 04:33Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?BUY0.9399999934$2.87
09-03 12:17Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?BUY0.96$2.75
08-09 06:31Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?BUY0.9299996694$2.56
06-05 08:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?BUY0.3991334498$452.54