blackbrick888
0xc1a17661aca68948d69ce5d3fe6efd8c7c20689c
- Realised P&L
- $-706.79
- Volume
- $61.0k
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $73.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.530 | 0.745 | $70.28 | +$20.28 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.339 | 0.023 | $3.39 | −$46.61 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.55at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
- +$151.58at 0.349Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
- +$135.67at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$111.05at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$107.15at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:02 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.985 | $66.55 |
| 10-07 09:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.964 | $64.05 |
| 10-07 09:01 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.92 | $69.69 |
| 09-01 07:00 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |
| 07-13 05:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $64.69 |
| 07-02 01:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.555 | $33.30 |
| 06-17 01:21 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 06-17 01:21 | Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | SELL | 0.0832225358 | $29.48 |
| 06-17 01:18 | Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 06-17 01:18 | Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 06-17 01:17 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 06-17 01:17 | Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 06-17 01:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 06-16 07:37 | Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 06-16 07:37 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |