CapitalistLad
0xc19a9f4d90c8a3253b8139280776a8c954389e17
- Realised P&L
- $-711.07
- Volume
- $160.9k
- Markets traded
- 731
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded731
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.90at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
- +$97.40at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 4?
- +$55.93at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?
- +$51.63at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?
- +$48.05at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 07-30 12:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 07-30 12:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 07-30 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.87 |
| 07-30 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.72 |
| 07-29 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 07-29 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 07-29 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.45 |
| 07-29 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on July 29? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.29 |
| 07-29 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 25? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 07-25 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 07-24 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 07-24 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 07-23 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.17 |