CapitalistLad
0xc19a9f4d90c8a3253b8139280776a8c954389e17
- Realised P&L
- $-764.67
- Volume
- $170.0k
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $1.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.90at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
- +$97.40at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 4?
- +$55.93at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?
- +$51.58at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?
- +$48.05at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.94 |
| 10-14 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 10-14 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.63 |
| 10-14 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.88 |
| 10-14 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0074074595 | $0.21 |
| 10-14 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 10-13 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.0214987531 | $0.43 |
| 10-13 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on October 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.41 |
| 10-13 13:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.05 |
| 10-12 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.22 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 07-30 12:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 07-30 12:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 07-30 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.87 |