PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CapitalistLad

0xc19a9f4d90c8a3253b8139280776a8c954389e17

Realised P&L
$-764.67
Volume
$170.0k
Markets traded
776
Open portfolio
$1.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded776
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 14? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14? · No0.0010.001$0.25−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? · Yes0.0020.001$0.22−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 14? · Yes0.0030.001$0.15−$0.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 14? · Yes0.0040.001$0.11−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14? · Yes0.0050.001$0.11−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 14? · Yes0.0150.001$0.09−$2.64
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14? · Yes0.0040.001$0.08−$0.55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.0010.001$0.04−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.0180.001$0.04−$1.31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 14? · Yes0.0250.001$0.03−$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 14? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 14? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 16:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14?BUY0.009$0.94
10-14 16:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14?BUY0.002$0.24
10-14 09:33Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?BUY0.004$0.63
10-14 09:33Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?BUY0.002$0.88
10-14 09:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.0074074595$0.21
10-14 09:28Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.005$0.10
10-13 16:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?SELL0.0214987531$0.43
10-13 13:04Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on October 13?BUY0.001$0.41
10-13 13:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?BUY0.001$1.05
10-12 13:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?BUY0.001$0.40
08-03 12:18Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 3?BUY0.017$0.22
08-01 15:57Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 1?BUY0.001$0.14
07-30 12:58Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 30?BUY0.07$2.10
07-30 12:57Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?BUY0.06$1.80
07-30 12:32Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 30?BUY0.02$0.87