Dren13579
0xc19128340130ba3635243eb357fee8c751fd0f9a
- Realised P&L
- $-896.35
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 763
- Open portfolio
- $3.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded763
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.64at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$118.28at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$112.35at 0.380Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$111.86at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$86.18at 0.300Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.79 |
| 09-28 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 16:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $15.84 |
| 09-21 16:51 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |