0x98894006D4846E15d4c7B52Fb6c79525Fc049693-1776260520179
0xc18d6e3250ce44acb82b824dfbc2064a2c3ec052
- Realised P&L
- $161.69
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $123.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.427 | $72.85 | −$27.15 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.087 | $42.47 | −$57.53 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.035 | $8.61 | −$41.39 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.11at 0.169Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$23.21at 0.240Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:04 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9 | $233.67 |
| 10-29 14:59 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.8199525903 | $78.35 |
| 10-27 21:43 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1686454151 | $59.90 |
| 10-27 21:30 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? | BUY | 0.034812007 | $13.87 |
| 10-27 21:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.35 | $73.86 |
| 10-27 16:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2399999996 | $50.65 |
| 10-27 16:27 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.2061689494 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 13:33 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? | BUY | 0.2040443438 | $99.77 |
| 10-27 13:15 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.2048520402 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 11:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5868292306 | $100.00 |