EmoSerge
0xc17d5fd2a558cb64a828cdc13399d0b7b8d5048f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.75
- Volume
- $174.05
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $21.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.540 | 0.705 | $21.15 | +$4.95 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.61at 0.920Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$2.32at 0.930Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$2.13at 0.750Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$1.33at 0.819OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
- +$0.41at 0.967Puffer airdrop by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 08:13 | 3Jane FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.91 |
| 03-15 12:58 | Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 03-15 12:56 | Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 03-15 12:50 | Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $15.86 |
| 11-12 08:45 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.40 |
| 11-12 08:19 | OpenSea token announcement in 2024? | BUY | 0.818999987 | $6.00 |
| 08-24 14:33 | Puffer airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.9669999986 | $11.99 |