AKK47
0xc179d921befaab746ccca3d8b523d588fbdeaaf1
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar36.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027? · No | 0.976 | 0.967 | $5.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.971 | 1.000 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.622Warriors vs. Grizzlies
- +$9.10at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.92at 0.982Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$0.76at 0.978Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.50at 0.930Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:18 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.983 | $20.26 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9759999974 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | SELL | 0.874 | $18.61 |
| 07-19 17:50 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9389999974 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999882 | $13.50 |
| 07-19 17:47 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 18:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9779999993 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | BUY | 0.9439999972 | $8.00 |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series? | BUY | 0.9299999921 | $5.90 |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999509 | $8.80 |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 18:53 | Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999958 | $6.60 |
| 06-29 18:28 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $50.00 |