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Traders

bellotas500

0xc1797afae01388da7d2271918d92282cfcb05cde

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$142.9k
Markets traded
891
Open portfolio
$516.03

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded891
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.6331.000$224.04+$82.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.7261.000$128.28+$35.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.5861.000$103.41+$42.78
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17? · Yes0.6200.655$39.30+$2.10
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.150$12.00$0.30
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.3210.200$9.00$5.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 25? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 10? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$19.97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? · Yes0.5590.000$0.00$40.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 20? · Yes0.4780.000$0.00$115.32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 13? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$60.25
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$15.40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5? · Yes0.3120.000$0.00$32.50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$10.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:54Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.09$1.80
09-16 21:54Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?SELL0.9$22.51
09-16 21:54Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?SELL0.93$27.90
09-16 21:53Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?SELL0.95$9.50
09-16 21:41Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.091183$9.12
09-16 20:53Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16?BUY0.48$2.40
09-16 20:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.78$7.80
09-16 20:43Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.1$0.50
09-16 20:43Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.1$4.00
09-16 20:43Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.1$1.00
09-16 20:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.74$5.69
09-16 20:39Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.14$0.84
09-16 20:38Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.75$30.00
09-16 20:37Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.71$7.10
09-16 20:34Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?BUY0.0867344444$7.81
Trader bellotas500 · PolyBot Pro