bellotas500
0xc1797afae01388da7d2271918d92282cfcb05cde
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $142.9k
- Markets traded
- 891
- Open portfolio
- $516.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded891
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$728.73at 0.222Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?
- +$547.51at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?
- +$427.88at 0.395Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 9?
- +$358.85at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 9?
- +$340.64at 0.650Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.9 | $22.51 |
| 09-16 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.091183 | $9.12 |
| 09-16 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.69 |
| 09-16 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.84 |
| 09-16 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.0867344444 | $7.81 |