Kaeselos5687
0xc176b3f2c1e2af38e4ae1ea9d1fcaa18a6515d01
- Realised P&L
- $31.19
- Volume
- $89.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,496
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,496
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.30at 0.626Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?
- +$39.57at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 26?
- +$35.77at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
- +$33.98at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 28?
- +$32.44at 0.729Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.2596899225 | $1.34 |
| 10-13 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.0032844488 | $0.20 |
| 10-13 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5903225426 | $3.05 |
| 10-12 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0164021164 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.49 |
| 10-12 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.8199999748 | $4.55 |
| 10-12 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8482857248 | $23.00 |
| 10-12 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.51 |
| 10-12 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | SELL | 0.6715787812 | $21.27 |
| 10-12 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8197844632 | $33.00 |
| 10-12 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.7562470871 | $28.00 |
| 10-12 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.77 | $62.43 |
| 10-12 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $60.00 |
| 10-12 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.9288044916 | $60.38 |
| 10-12 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8459670436 | $55.00 |