plataoplomo-670
0xc16bf967ab9002dad7ea1e4450a99d29183ed2da
- Realised P&L
- $135.47
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $91.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $61.00 | −$7.00 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.070 | $25.51 | −$19.47 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.026 | $5.30 | −$1.90 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.26at 0.213Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$61.20at 0.988Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
- +$28.38at 0.959Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
- +$23.11at 0.979Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$8.62at 0.800Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:13 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.34 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.789 | $21.81 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.788 | $12.40 |
| 07-22 17:41 | Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? | BUY | 0.9890081402 | $506.64 |
| 07-10 02:15 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 07-10 02:14 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 07-10 02:14 | Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 07-10 02:13 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.63 |
| 07-05 22:44 | Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? | BUY | 0.9842730808 | $880.83 |
| 07-03 01:39 | Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? | BUY | 0.985 | $81.75 |
| 07-03 01:39 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $82.78 |
| 07-01 05:41 | Will Iván Cepeda win less than 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.87 |
| 07-01 05:38 | Will Iván Cepeda win between 45% and 50% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.70 |
| 07-01 05:34 | Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? | BUY | 0.999 | $218.78 |
| 07-01 05:27 | Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |