plataoplomo-670
0xc16bf967ab9002dad7ea1e4450a99d29183ed2da
- Realised P&L
- $272.15
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $348.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.520 | 0.645 | $122.80 | +$23.80 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.265 | $90.98 | −$15.62 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.432 | $85.88 | −$14.12 |
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.039 | $22.21 | −$35.07 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.023 | $15.23 | −$15.17 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.020 | $11.16 | −$2.84 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.58at 0.317Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$82.26at 0.213Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$61.20at 0.988Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
- +$28.38at 0.959Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
- +$23.11at 0.979Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $99.00 |
| 10-27 22:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5029999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 21:38 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 22:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8520625 | $136.33 |
| 10-25 20:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 20:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 06:37 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $6.80 |
| 10-05 06:32 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0256813564 | $13.40 |
| 10-05 05:38 | Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1210133737 | $17.00 |
| 07-31 20:13 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $43.34 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.789 | $21.81 |
| 07-31 20:09 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July? | BUY | 0.788 | $12.40 |
| 07-22 17:41 | Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? | BUY | 0.9890081402 | $506.64 |
| 07-10 02:15 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 07-10 02:14 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |