PolyBot

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Traders

plataoplomo-670

0xc16bf967ab9002dad7ea1e4450a99d29183ed2da

Realised P&L
$272.15
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$348.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5200.645$122.80+$23.80
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3100.265$90.98−$15.62
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5030.432$85.88−$14.12
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · Yes0.1010.039$22.21−$35.07
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0460.023$15.23−$15.17
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.020$11.16−$2.84
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$21.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:20Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5199999983$99.00
10-27 22:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5029999976$100.00
10-26 21:38Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.2399999981$20.00
10-25 22:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8520625$136.33
10-25 20:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.32$50.00
10-25 20:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3$9.00
10-05 06:37Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019$6.80
10-05 06:32Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0256813564$13.40
10-05 05:38Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.1210133737$17.00
07-31 20:13Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?SELL0.999$43.34
07-31 20:09Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?BUY0.789$21.81
07-31 20:09Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?BUY0.788$12.40
07-22 17:41Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?BUY0.9890081402$506.64
07-10 02:15Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.15$9.00
07-10 02:14Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.14$2.10