PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

124aaa

0xc164d4aa39ad93a2c053bc9e911d37a6ef95454d

Realised P&L
$156.14
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$112.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 03:15Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?SELL0.398635$39.86
10-10 03:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.0789509571$5.50
10-10 03:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.0853429$8.53
10-10 03:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.0987635592$5.00
10-10 03:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.0757517384$4.03
10-10 02:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.54$16.07
10-10 02:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.0712962913$1.00
10-10 02:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10?SELL0.16$16.32
10-10 02:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-10 02:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10?BUY0.0870361659$8.80
10-10 02:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.0247551223$2.50
10-10 02:30Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 10?BUY0.1808725972$9.50
10-10 02:22Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.1$7.39
10-10 02:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10?SELL0.005$0.50
10-10 02:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.0482759587$4.82