124aaa
0xc164d4aa39ad93a2c053bc9e911d37a6ef95454d
- Realised P&L
- $156.14
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $112.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.16at 0.224Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 8?
- +$80.52at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?
- +$62.30at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9?
- +$56.74at 0.288Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?
- +$37.28at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.398635 | $39.86 |
| 10-10 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0789509571 | $5.50 |
| 10-10 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.0853429 | $8.53 |
| 10-10 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0987635592 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0757517384 | $4.03 |
| 10-10 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.54 | $16.07 |
| 10-10 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0712962913 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.32 |
| 10-10 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0870361659 | $8.80 |
| 10-10 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0247551223 | $2.50 |
| 10-10 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1808725972 | $9.50 |
| 10-10 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.1 | $7.39 |
| 10-10 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 10-10 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.0482759587 | $4.82 |