PolyBot

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Traders

CaligostoLoboto

0xc163fbf59accb8f157931c724d88849f32105a1d

Realised P&L
$-20.3k
Volume
$132.5k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$775.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:05Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.17$8.50
11-01 18:04Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$2.60
11-01 18:04Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.34$6.80
11-01 18:02Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$28.80
11-01 18:02Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.37$11.10
11-01 18:01Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$6.50
11-01 18:01Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$14.70
10-31 21:22Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$5.20
10-31 21:21Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.426$5.11
10-31 21:19Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.35$4.90
10-31 21:18Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$25.20
10-31 21:18Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.7$7.00
10-31 21:17Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.4$3.20
10-31 21:17Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$5.60
10-31 21:17Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.33$9.90