0xc15e2be83AAD26A3DDE49E36bc5596D3b901c61F-1774746249787
0xc15e2be83aad26a3dde49e36bc5596d3b901c61f
- Realised P&L
- $9.09
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.144Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
- +$5.10at 0.280Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$3.85at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$3.85at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$3.49at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $1.98 |
| 10-27 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $1.50 |
| 10-27 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.76 |
| 10-27 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.76 |
| 10-27 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:24 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0903846136 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 20:02 | Will Montpellier HSC vs. Red Star FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 21:27 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.94 |
| 10-25 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $2.14 |
| 10-25 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |