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Traders

earthStones

0xc15cad59b14079fb7a553c483ac5262c15746549

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$219.0k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$271.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0770.038$226.57$229.66
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0660.040$17.86$12.14
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0640.004$14.69$192.90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$5.88$4.12
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0260.021$3.32$0.68
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$1.77$29.22
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$0.55$0.45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3170.161$0.51$0.50
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$312.95
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$42.00
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$74.97
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$20.00
Sam Altman in jail by June 30? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$5.00
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$39.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 09:20Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$35.72
08-05 07:20Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0409999959$10.00
08-05 07:19Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1251848104$10.00
08-05 07:17Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0865981712$100.00
08-04 20:39Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0467862729$4.00
08-04 10:18Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0592593734$1.15
08-04 10:18Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0488889975$20.00
08-02 10:52Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.039$0.65
08-02 10:50Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
08-01 20:23Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0559887036$80.00
08-01 20:15Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0476853195$10.00
08-01 20:13Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
07-31 13:25Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.027$2.97
07-31 13:21Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0815192206$60.00
07-23 18:34Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0376986385$8.00