makinta
0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af
- Realised P&L
- $50.4k
- Volume
- $12.73M
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $93.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.2kat 0.875Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.885US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$22.3kat 0.722Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$22.1kat 0.645Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- +$17.9kat 0.679Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 05:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $52.7k |
| 08-20 04:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $326.51 |
| 08-15 05:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $397.38 |
| 08-10 15:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.3k |
| 08-07 07:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $52.52 |
| 08-06 09:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.6k |
| 08-04 13:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.8k |
| 07-31 19:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.9950619293 | $4.0k |
| 07-31 13:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? | BUY | 0.9978255417 | $14.3k |
| 07-31 06:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9839903682 | $10.2k |
| 07-30 12:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9571683916 | $7.0k |
| 07-30 12:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9555494412 | $8.9k |
| 07-30 07:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.984 | $911.41 |
| 07-29 06:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.1k |
| 07-27 18:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $60.7k |