PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc15700bb8059622268598014618f89057ff2728c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
350
Open portfolio
$534.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded350
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 08:52Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.56$615.17
07-07 20:34Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.002$10.00
05-16 21:15Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.021$10.50
05-16 20:33Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.001$5.00
05-16 20:31Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.027$47.22
04-24 19:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?SELL0.0718347117$52.29
04-24 19:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.0157923629$6.49
04-24 12:03Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.043$43.00
04-24 11:21Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.04849995$4.85
04-24 11:21Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0471394668$16.90
04-20 12:14U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?BUY0.0796310063$5.27
04-18 22:24Kash Patel out by December 31?SELL0.76$145.78
04-17 22:39Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$3.00
04-17 22:34Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.64$381.33
04-16 20:07NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?SELL0.098277039$35.47