0xc15700bb8059622268598014618f89057ff2728c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $534.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.701US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.876Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$656.30at 0.882Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$554.44at 0.482Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
- +$336.63at 0.880US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 08:52 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.56 | $615.17 |
| 07-07 20:34 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 21:15 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $10.50 |
| 05-16 20:33 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 20:31 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $47.22 |
| 04-24 19:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | SELL | 0.0718347117 | $52.29 |
| 04-24 19:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.0157923629 | $6.49 |
| 04-24 12:03 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.043 | $43.00 |
| 04-24 11:21 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.04849995 | $4.85 |
| 04-24 11:21 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0471394668 | $16.90 |
| 04-20 12:14 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30? | BUY | 0.0796310063 | $5.27 |
| 04-18 22:24 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $145.78 |
| 04-17 22:39 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 04-17 22:34 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $381.33 |
| 04-16 20:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.098277039 | $35.47 |