nicolas-mvd
0xc156168d6bb5c6adc709e5d9bf636e0876bc45be
- Realised P&L
- $50.40
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $123.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.20at 0.177Ningbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake Delaney
- +$24.20at 0.177Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
- +$22.41at 0.870Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$14.05at 0.270Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
- +$11.17at 0.218Al Hazem SC leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:12 | Costa do Sauipe: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:12 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:11 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.94 |
| 11-01 21:02 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.3 | $1.92 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.77 |
| 11-01 19:27 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:24 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.94 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:37 | US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:36 | US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:34 | Spread: Pacers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:26 | Spread: Chargers (-14.5) | SELL | 0.03 | $2.86 |