PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Barron147

0xc1541b2af765e4d1013337084d889d0db302aa0e

Realised P&L
$-484.87
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$14.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0600.085$7.08+$2.08
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.855$4.91$0.09
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1900.205$2.70+$0.20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$11.50
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$1.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.67
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$18.00
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$326.12
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Oilers vs. Ducks · Oilers0.5470.000$0.00$39.70
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 06:45Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$6.76
08-22 06:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$4.94
08-22 06:44Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$7.01
08-22 06:43Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.827$10.59
08-22 06:41Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7575272864$20.13
08-21 06:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.5699998906$5.00
08-21 05:55Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
08-21 04:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$5.00
07-27 22:58Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$15.62
07-27 22:57Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$12.48
07-27 22:49Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$21.39
07-13 13:36Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.215$2.01
07-05 06:24Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999935$20.00
07-04 21:45Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-04 10:57Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999869$5.00